Alexander Senning

Alexander Senning

Alexander Senning


Ich glaube, dass Marken gewinnen, weil Menschen sie wollen, nicht weil sie sie kennen. Begehrlichkeit entsteht nicht aus Reichweite, sondern aus Haltung, Konsequenz und dem Mut, für etwas zu stehen. In über 16 Jahren internationaler Erfahrung habe ich Marken neu aufgestellt, globale Kampagnen geführt und Teams aufgebaut, die eine Marke nicht nur sichtbar machen, sondern begehrenswert.

I believe brands win because people want them, not because people know them. Desire does not come from reach. It comes from having a point of view and the nerve to hold it. In more than 16 years across international markets I have repositioned brands, led global campaigns and built the teams that make a brand not just visible, but wanted.

我相信,品牌之所以胜出,是因为人们想要它,而不是因为人们知道它。渴望并非来自曝光,而是来自鲜明的主张、始终如一的坚持,以及为之承担的勇气。在十六年以上的国际经验中,我重塑过品牌,主导过全球营销战役,也组建过让品牌不只是被看见、而是被渴望的团队。


Brand valuation: what a number can and cannot do

Brand valuation is one of the few exercises in marketing that ends with a single number. That is exactly what makes it so attractive and so dangerous. Attractive, because a number works in rooms where arguments about meaning do not. Dangerous, because a number creates the impression that the matter is now understood.

  • A number does not replace a judgement.
  • Brand strength is reported in measures, not in one sum.
  • A monetary valuation pays off only for a concrete occasion.
  • The most common error is mistaking value for effect.

What brand valuation actually answers

The first confusion arrives with the term itself. There are two different questions that both get called brand valuation in daily use. One asks what the brand is worth in money if it had to be sold, licensed or carried on a balance sheet. The other asks how strong the brand is and whether it is getting stronger. The first question comes up rarely and immediately carries legal and tax consequences. The second comes up every quarter.

That separation is not a consultant’s invention. It is standardised. ISO 20671-1 sets out the principles and fundamentals of brand evaluation as a measure of strength, complementing the older standard for monetary valuation. Anyone who confuses the two ends up either with a number that cannot steer anything, or with an assessment that will not survive external review.

In my work the second question is almost always the relevant one. I once supported an elaborate monetary brand valuation because a committee wanted to see a figure. The result was methodologically clean, took four months, and changed not one decision afterwards. What did change something was a far simpler set of five measures that we reported every quarter.

Five measures I use to report brand strength

The five measures below are not a model, they are a reporting format. Their advantage is that they are understood by people who never studied marketing.

  • Awareness with content. Not only whether people know the brand, but what for. Bare awareness without attribution is the most overrated number in marketing.
  • Preference against competitors. Is the brand chosen at comparable price and comparable availability? That is the most honest test there is.
  • Price latitude. How much premium does the brand carry before demand breaks? This measure connects brand and result more directly than any other.
  • Repeat purchase. Do people come back without being pulled back by an occasion? Discount-driven returns do not count here.
  • Recommendation with a reason. Not the score but the sentence behind it. If the reasons are interchangeable, so is the brand.

A brand valuation built from these five measures is not a balance sheet item, but it is steerable. Each of the five can be attached to a decision, and that is precisely what monetary methods almost always lack. How these measures can be condensed for a supervisory board I have described in a separate piece.

When a monetary valuation makes sense

There are cases where there is no way around a monetary brand valuation. A sale, an acquisition, a licence, an intra-group charge, a dispute over trademark infringement. In all of those you need a method that survives external review, and you need it from someone who does this regularly. That is not a marketing task. It belongs to finance, with technical input from marketing.

What I learned in those projects is uncomfortable: the quality of a brand valuation depends less on the model than on the assumptions about the future. Two businesses applying the same method arrive at very different results if they think differently about growth. So anyone handed a number should ask first about the assumptions behind it, not about the methodology.

The second point concerns use. A monetary figure answers what the brand is worth, not what it needs. I have watched a high valuation be read as proof that everything was fine, while three of the five strength measures were falling at the same time. A brand valuation in money is a rear-view mirror. It shows what has been built and says little about whether it will carry further.

The most common error in interpretation

The most expensive mistake in brand valuation is comparison with someone else’s numbers. League tables that place brand values from different industries side by side are well made journalism, not a basis for decisions. The methods differ, the data differs, and the gap between two brands says nothing about what is happening inside your own. The only useful comparison is with your own brand a year ago, on an unchanged method.

The second error is rhythm. Brand strength moves in quarters and years, not in weeks. Anyone querying a brand valuation monthly is measuring fluctuation rather than development, and then decides on fluctuation. I consider an annual full cycle with a shortened quarterly view to be right, and I think it is important not to touch the method for several years, even when a better one becomes available.

I once saw how strong that effect is in a single value. We had moved the survey onto a better panel in one year, and preference jumped upward without anything having changed about the brand. Internally it was read as a success until somebody asked. Since then every brand valuation I sign off includes a short paragraph on what changed in the survey itself. Without that paragraph a year-on-year comparison is a claim rather than a measurement, and it costs less effort than any later correction.

What a number cannot do

A brand valuation does not replace judgement. It does not say whether a collection was right, whether a floor works, or whether a narrative carries. It condenses the outcome of many such decisions into a position. Use it as a substitute for judgement and you get an organisation that optimises towards the number while leaving out exactly the things that make a brand distinguishable, because those do not show up in the number in the short run.

That is why I think it is important to close every brand valuation with a question that is not a number: what would we miss if this brand were gone tomorrow? If the honest answer is that a competitor would close the gap within a season, then the figure describes an inventory rather than a position.

In the end brand valuation is a leadership instrument, not a proof of work. It is useful when it forces a decision that would otherwise have been postponed. It is harmful when it serves as evidence for the work already done. The difference between the two is not created by the method but by the willingness to let a bad result stand and change something because of it.

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